Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -450 NWST +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -10.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -6.9 (+2.1) | 144.4 (-7.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -9.2 (-0.2) | 141.2 (-4.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -7.4 (+1.6) | 143.1 (-6.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -7.3 (+1.7) | 145.7 (-8.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | AMCC 71 – 59 NWST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NWST 79 – 78 AMCC |
| Mar 10, 2025 | NWST 66 – 63 AMCC |
| Feb 20, 2024 | AMCC 72 – 61 NWST |
| Jan 27, 2024 | AMCC 79 – 68 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#130) | -4.3 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#177) | -0.51 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#163) | -0.49 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#173) | 0.480 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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