Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -1600 NWST +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -13.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -10.8 (+0.2) | 139.0 (-6.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | AMCC -10.0 (+1.0) | 136.4 (-3.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | AMCC -10.6 (+0.4) | 137.7 (-4.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -10.4 (+0.6) | 136.9 (-3.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | AMCC 71 – 59 NWST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NWST 79 – 78 AMCC |
| Mar 10, 2025 | NWST 66 – 63 AMCC |
| Jan 14, 2025 | AMCC 73 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 27, 2024 | AMCC 79 – 68 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#189) | -11.5 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#224) | -2.08 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#226) | -2.41 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#212) | 0.401 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.0% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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