Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UMES -278 SCST +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UMES -8.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -5.9 (+6.1) | 132.1 (-6.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UMES -4.0 (+8.0) | 130.8 (-4.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UMES -6.3 (+5.7) | 133.5 (-7.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -5.9 (+6.1) | 133.0 (-7.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCST 63 – 54 UMES |
| Feb 25, 2025 | SCST 81 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 14, 2025 | SCST 78 – 64 UMES |
| Feb 27, 2024 | SCST 64 – 56 UMES |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SCST 63 – 53 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 2-18 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#344) | -19.4 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#349) | -2.85 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.39 (#353) | -3.84 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#351) | 0.386 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 37.8% |
Game Analysis
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