Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UMES +750 SCST -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +13 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -14.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -12.3 (-0.7) | 140.8 (+8.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -12.0 (-1.0) | 141.9 (+7.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -12.8 (-0.2) | 139.7 (+9.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -13.8 (+0.8) | 141.4 (+7.6) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UMES 69 – 57 SCST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCST 63 – 54 UMES |
| Jan 14, 2025 | SCST 78 – 64 UMES |
| Feb 27, 2024 | SCST 64 – 56 UMES |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SCST 63 – 53 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 11-3 |
| Home | 5-7 | 10-2 |
| Away | 1-17 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -18.9 (#361) | -1.8 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.95 (#364) | -0.92 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.53 (#364) | -1.00 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#362) | 0.465 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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