Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SCST -500 UMES +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +8 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -9.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -8.5 (-0.5) | 136.4 (-16.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -7.8 (+0.2) | 137.6 (-17.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -8.0 (+0.0) | 139.0 (-19.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -8.1 (-0.1) | 136.3 (-16.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UMES 69 – 57 SCST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCST 63 – 54 UMES |
| Feb 25, 2025 | SCST 81 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 14, 2025 | SCST 78 – 64 UMES |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SCST 63 – 53 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 4-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#313) | -15.0 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#294) | -2.46 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#292) | -2.97 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#288) | 0.374 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.5% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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