Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SCST +145 UMES -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +9 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | UMES -5.1 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -4.2 (+13.2) | 130.1 (-13.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -1.8 (+10.8) | 128.5 (-11.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -3.1 (+12.1) | 131.3 (-14.3) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -4.5 (+13.5) | 126.0 (-9.0) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UMES 69 – 57 SCST |
| Feb 25, 2025 | SCST 81 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 14, 2025 | SCST 78 – 64 UMES |
| Feb 27, 2024 | SCST 64 – 56 UMES |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SCST 63 – 53 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-5 | 6-4 |
| Away | 3-16 | 2-18 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -19.7 (#362) | -11.6 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.86 (#353) | -2.09 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.13 (#359) | -2.89 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#356) | 0.419 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 60.6% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.5% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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