Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SCST -1800 UMES +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -17.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -13.5 (+0.5) | 143.7 (-1.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -13.6 (+0.4) | 142.4 (-0.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -12.5 (+1.5) | 143.1 (-1.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -13.1 (+0.9) | 143.7 (-1.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UMES 69 – 57 SCST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCST 63 – 54 UMES |
| Feb 25, 2025 | SCST 81 – 68 UMES |
| Feb 27, 2024 | SCST 64 – 56 UMES |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SCST 63 – 53 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 2-12 |
| Home | 10-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-10 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#211) | -16.5 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#270) | -3.82 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#249) | -5.18 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#261) | 0.391 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.9% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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