Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UMES -111 SCST -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +10 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | UMES -0.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-29.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -0.1 (-10.1) | 139.9 (-23.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -0.4 (-9.6) | 139.1 (-23.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -0.0 (-10.0) | 140.5 (-24.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -0.0 (-10.0) | 139.3 (-23.3) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UMES 69 – 57 SCST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCST 63 – 54 UMES |
| Feb 25, 2025 | SCST 81 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 14, 2025 | SCST 78 – 64 UMES |
| Feb 27, 2024 | SCST 64 – 56 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 0-15 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.1 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -14.4 (#347) | -11.5 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#350) | -1.62 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.43 (#352) | -2.16 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.361 (#360) | 0.421 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.0% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.1% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 38.1% |
Game Analysis
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