Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | RGV -600 ETAM +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +8 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | RGV -14.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -10.8 (-2.8) | 143.4 (-25.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -11.8 (-3.8) | 141.5 (-23.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -12.2 (-4.2) | 143.3 (-25.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -12.4 (-4.4) | 142.0 (-24.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | ETAM 77 – 69 RGV |
| Jan 14, 2025 | RGV 57 – 55 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 14-8 | 6-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#134) | -9.0 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#187) | -1.46 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#162) | -1.73 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#182) | 0.453 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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