Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | FAIR -105 SIE -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -0.8 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -0.2 (+13.8) | 139.6 (-9.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -0.1 (+14.1) | 137.5 (-7.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAIR -0.4 (+13.6) | 139.1 (-9.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAIR -0.1 (+13.9) | 140.7 (-10.7) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 FAIR |
| Jan 19, 2026 | SIE 85 – 77 FAIR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SIE 68 – 64 FAIR |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FAIR 88 – 64 SIE |
| Jan 6, 2024 | FAIR 93 – 69 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#254) | -1.7 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#208) | -0.15 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#224) | -0.29 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#164) | 0.510 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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