Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -265 FAIR +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -7.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -4.2 (+3.8) | 138.6 (+23.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -4.5 (+3.5) | 136.7 (+25.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -3.7 (+4.3) | 137.8 (+24.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -4.3 (+3.7) | 139.1 (+22.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 FAIR |
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAIR 72 – 58 SIE |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SIE 68 – 64 FAIR |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FAIR 88 – 64 SIE |
| Jan 6, 2024 | FAIR 93 – 69 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#191) | -5.2 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#209) | -0.70 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#203) | -0.99 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#215) | 0.476 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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