Betting Lines
| Spread | FAIR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SIE +163 FAIR -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +24 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | FAIR -11.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -11.5 (-12.5) | 136.0 (+26.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAIR -9.7 (-14.3) | 136.6 (+25.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAIR -12.1 (-11.9) | 134.7 (+27.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAIR -10.2 (-13.8) | 138.0 (+24.0) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 FAIR |
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAIR 72 – 58 SIE |
| Jan 19, 2026 | SIE 85 – 77 FAIR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SIE 68 – 64 FAIR |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FAIR 88 – 64 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 14-6 |
| Home | 2-12 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.4 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -18.2 (#360) | -2.3 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#351) | -0.22 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.99 (#354) | -0.46 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#356) | 0.465 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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