Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -360 FAIR +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -11.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -9.3 (-5.3) | 143.1 (-11.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -7.0 (-3.0) | 141.4 (-9.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -9.8 (-5.8) | 140.9 (-8.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -9.3 (-5.3) | 141.6 (-9.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 FAIR |
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAIR 72 – 58 SIE |
| Jan 19, 2026 | SIE 85 – 77 FAIR |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FAIR 88 – 64 SIE |
| Jan 6, 2024 | FAIR 93 – 69 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#232) | -11.7 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#244) | -1.27 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#234) | -1.97 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#201) | 0.448 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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