Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | GT +195 FSU -238 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +9 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | FSU -3.9 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -3.6 (-5.4) | 156.2 (-5.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -4.6 (-4.4) | 151.4 (-0.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -4.8 (-4.2) | 154.6 (-3.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -4.6 (-4.4) | 155.6 (-4.6) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | FSU 91 – 78 GT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GT 85 – 76 FSU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | FSU 82 – 71 GT |
| Mar 7, 2023 | GT 61 – 60 FSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | FSU 75 – 64 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-9 | 11-6 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#148) | 7.8 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#190) | 1.35 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#190) | 1.67 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#238) | 0.536 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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