Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | FSU -150 GT +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | GT -0.6 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -2.2 (+13.2) | 144.5 (-5.5) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -0.2 (+11.2) | 145.1 (-6.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -1.9 (+12.9) | 143.4 (-4.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GT -1.4 (+12.4) | 144.7 (-5.7) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FSU 80 – 71 GT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FSU 91 – 78 GT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GT 85 – 76 FSU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | FSU 82 – 71 GT |
| Mar 7, 2023 | GT 61 – 60 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 5-11 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#222) | 2.1 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#288) | 0.88 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#277) | 1.01 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#272) | 0.543 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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