Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Florida State Seminoles
60 – 61
FINAL Neutral Conference New York Life ACC
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Atlantic Coast Conference · First Horizon Coliseum (Neutral) · March 7, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread GT -2.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money FSU +110 / GT -138
Model Predictions
Spread Total FSU win
Actual GT +1 121 Lost
Massey GT -2.8 (+1.8) — —
Massey Totals — 141.3 (-20.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 35% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 30% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GT -3.1 (+2.1) 144.5 (-23.5) 32% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GT -2.2 (+1.2) 142.7 (-21.7) 33% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GT -3.7 (+2.7) 143.7 (-22.7) 34% ✓
Baseline ML GT -3.9 (+2.9) 144.8 (-23.8) 30% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 FSU 80 – 71 GT
Jan 18, 2025 FSU 91 – 78 GT
Mar 2, 2024 GT 85 – 76 FSU
Jan 4, 2024 FSU 82 – 71 GT
Jan 7, 2023 FSU 75 – 64 GT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FSU GT
Overall 9-23 15-18
Conference 7-13 6-14
Home 5-11 11-6
Away 4-7 3-9
Neutral 0-5 1-3
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 69.3 68.7
Avg Pts Against 76.2 71.5
Massey -2.6 (#216) 0.2 (#166)
Bradley-Terry -0.38 (#213) 0.23 (#150)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.42 (#212) 0.41 (#141)
RPI 0.477 (#226) 0.490 (#196)
Shooting & Four Factors FSU GT
FG% 43.7% 41.9%
3PT% 33.3% 33.6%
REB / G 31.1 34.6
OREB / G 8.5 10.1
AST / TO 1.10 1.27
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.4% 48.4%
TOV% 17.6% 15.9%
ORB% 25.5% 27.7%
FT Rate 22.4% 15.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.3% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 16.1%
DRB% 68.1% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 22.0%

Game Analysis

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