Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | FSU -190 GT +158 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -5.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -2.3 (+8.7) | 144.5 (+8.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -1.9 (+9.1) | 142.3 (+10.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -2.7 (+8.3) | 141.1 (+11.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -2.5 (+8.5) | 142.0 (+11.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FSU 80 – 71 GT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FSU 91 – 78 GT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GT 85 – 76 FSU |
| Mar 7, 2023 | GT 61 – 60 FSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | FSU 75 – 64 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-7 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#109) | 2.8 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#175) | 1.50 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#159) | 1.98 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#118) | 0.590 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 42.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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