Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | FSU -600 GT +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +13 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -10.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -10.7 (+2.3) | 148.1 (+20.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -9.3 (+3.7) | 148.1 (+20.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -9.9 (+3.1) | 145.7 (+23.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -9.9 (+3.1) | 146.4 (+22.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FSU 80 – 71 GT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GT 85 – 76 FSU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | FSU 82 – 71 GT |
| Mar 7, 2023 | GT 61 – 60 FSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | FSU 75 – 64 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#62) | 2.4 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#64) | -0.49 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#64) | -0.43 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#49) | 0.461 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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