Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | USC +190 NEB -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +15 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -7.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -4.5 (-10.5) | 146.5 (+2.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -5.2 (-9.8) | 143.0 (+6.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -6.0 (-9.0) | 145.3 (+3.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -6.2 (-8.8) | 145.2 (+3.8) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2025 | USC 78 – 73 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-7 | 16-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#66) | 19.1 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#47) | 3.66 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#55) | 4.54 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#58) | 0.617 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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