You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
Hampton Pirates
76 65
FINAL Conference
Northeastern Huskies
Coastal Athletic Association · Convocation Center (VA) · February 28, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread HAMP -3.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money HAMP -170 / NE +142
Model Predictions
Spread Total HAMP win
Actual HAMP +11 141 Won
Massey HAMP -3.2 (+7.8)
Massey Totals 149.1 (-8.1)
Bradley-Terry 72%
Weighted B-T 70%
Efficiency Plus ML HAMP -2.8 (+8.2) 143.7 (-2.7) 60%
Baseline Tuned ML HAMP -2.3 (+8.7) 143.9 (-2.9) 62%
Baseline ML HAMP -2.6 (+8.4) 144.3 (-3.3) 65%
Baseline Plus ML HAMP -2.1 (+8.9) 144.6 (-3.6) 58%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2025 HAMP 7065 NE
Feb 8, 2025 HAMP 8475 NE
Jan 31, 2025 NE 7869 HAMP
Feb 24, 2024 NE 7062 HAMP
Jan 7, 2023 NE 7963 HAMP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HAMP NE
Overall 13-19 7-24
Conference 7-11 2-16
Home 10-2 2-10
Away 2-12 3-13
Neutral 1-5 2-1
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.0 74.9
Avg Pts Against 72.1 81.0
Massey -6.6 (#269) -6.8 (#274)
Bradley-Terry -1.08 (#266) -1.52 (#305)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.46 (#269) -1.73 (#286)
RPI 0.447 (#284) 0.438 (#301)
Shooting & Four Factors HAMP NE
FG% 40.1% 45.9%
3PT% 29.4% 33.8%
REB / G 35.0 31.5
OREB / G 12.3 9.4
AST / TO 0.95 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.5% 52.4%
TOV% 17.8% 16.8%
ORB% 33.4% 26.8%
FT Rate 28.2% 20.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.1% 56.6%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 17.3%
DRB% 70.0% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 30.8% 30.5%

Game Analysis

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