Betting Lines
| Spread | HAMP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP -170 NE +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -3.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -2.1 (+8.9) | 144.6 (-3.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -2.8 (+8.2) | 143.7 (-2.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -2.3 (+8.7) | 143.9 (-2.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -2.6 (+8.4) | 144.3 (-3.3) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2025 | HAMP 70 – 65 NE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HAMP 84 – 75 NE |
| Jan 31, 2025 | NE 78 – 69 HAMP |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NE 70 – 62 HAMP |
| Jan 7, 2023 | NE 79 – 63 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 10-2 | 2-10 |
| Away | 2-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#269) | -6.8 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#266) | -1.52 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#269) | -1.73 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#284) | 0.438 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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