Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP +110 NE -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | HAMP -0.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -0.3 (-9.3) | 138.7 (+8.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -0.1 (-8.9) | 138.5 (+8.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -0.0 (-9.0) | 140.1 (+6.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -0.0 (-9.0) | 140.5 (+6.5) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | HAMP 76 – 65 NE |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HAMP 70 – 65 NE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HAMP 84 – 75 NE |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NE 70 – 62 HAMP |
| Jan 7, 2023 | NE 79 – 63 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#251) | -2.1 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#238) | -0.07 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#229) | -0.27 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#196) | 0.505 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.