Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | NE -125 HAMP +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +5 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -0.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -0.7 (-4.3) | 134.4 (+0.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -0.1 (-4.9) | 132.5 (+2.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -0.6 (-4.4) | 133.5 (+1.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -0.3 (-4.7) | 133.6 (+1.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | HAMP 76 – 65 NE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HAMP 84 – 75 NE |
| Jan 31, 2025 | NE 78 – 69 HAMP |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NE 70 – 62 HAMP |
| Jan 7, 2023 | NE 79 – 63 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#208) | -3.0 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#179) | -0.53 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#192) | -0.61 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#171) | 0.492 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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