Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | NE -280 HAMP +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +9 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -7.8 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -5.3 (-14.3) | 141.7 (+17.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -6.2 (-15.2) | 138.8 (+20.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -6.0 (-15.0) | 140.2 (+18.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -6.1 (-15.1) | 140.7 (+18.3) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | HAMP 76 – 65 NE |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HAMP 70 – 65 NE |
| Jan 31, 2025 | NE 78 – 69 HAMP |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NE 70 – 62 HAMP |
| Jan 7, 2023 | NE 79 – 63 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#188) | -6.3 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#172) | -0.99 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#180) | -1.20 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#151) | 0.474 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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