Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP +250 NE -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +16 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -2.4 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -2.7 (-13.3) | 141.8 (+0.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -4.0 (-12.0) | 141.6 (+0.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -2.8 (-13.2) | 142.0 (-0.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -3.2 (-12.8) | 142.7 (-0.7) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | HAMP 76 – 65 NE |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HAMP 70 – 65 NE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HAMP 84 – 75 NE |
| Jan 31, 2025 | NE 78 – 69 HAMP |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NE 70 – 62 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 6-6 |
| Away | 1-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#347) | -5.7 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#333) | -1.10 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#333) | -1.29 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#313) | 0.442 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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