Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | NE -700 HAMP +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | NE -13.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -11.5 (-3.5) | 145.6 (-13.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -10.3 (-2.3) | 144.8 (-12.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -11.4 (-3.4) | 146.7 (-14.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -11.2 (-3.2) | 146.2 (-14.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | HAMP 76 – 65 NE |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HAMP 70 – 65 NE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HAMP 84 – 75 NE |
| Jan 31, 2025 | NE 78 – 69 HAMP |
| Jan 7, 2023 | NE 79 – 63 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-13 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#231) | -13.7 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#239) | -2.49 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#224) | -2.89 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#221) | 0.392 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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