Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -535 TTU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | ISU -6.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -6.7 (-15.7) | 143.8 (+11.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -6.8 (-15.8) | 143.3 (+11.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -6.0 (-15.0) | 143.7 (+11.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -6.3 (-15.3) | 145.5 (+9.5) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | ISU 75 – 53 TTU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ISU 85 – 84 TTU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ISU 82 – 74 TTU |
| Jan 31, 2023 | TTU 80 – 77 ISU |
| Jan 11, 2023 | ISU 84 – 50 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 23.2 (#7) | 19.6 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.80 (#7) | 3.40 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.60 (#10) | 4.05 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#17) | 0.642 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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