Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -155 ISU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +1 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -0.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -1.9 (-2.9) | 149.3 (+19.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -3.1 (-4.1) | 143.2 (+25.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -0.7 (-1.7) | 147.1 (+21.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -2.1 (-3.1) | 147.8 (+21.2) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | ISU 75 – 53 TTU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | TTU 82 – 73 ISU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ISU 82 – 74 TTU |
| Jan 31, 2023 | TTU 80 – 77 ISU |
| Jan 11, 2023 | ISU 84 – 50 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 17.6 (#18) | 20.8 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#60) | 4.35 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#46) | 6.07 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#58) | 0.628 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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