And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Wyoming Cowboys
66 62
FINAL Conference
Air Force Falcons
Mountain West Conference · Arena-Auditorium · February 28, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -20.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money WYO -3600 / AF +1500
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual WYO +4 128 Won
Massey WYO -24.3 (-20.3)
Massey Totals 141.1 (-13.1)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 98%
Baseline Plus ML WYO -21.5 (-17.5) 141.9 (-13.9) 91%
Model 4 ML WYO -18.0 (-14.0) 141.2 (-13.2) 90%
Model 3 ML WYO -20.5 (-16.5) 141.8 (-13.8) 90%
Baseline ML WYO -22.1 (-18.1) 143.7 (-15.7) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 30, 2025 WYO 6856 AF
Feb 19, 2025 WYO 6962 AF
Jan 4, 2025 WYO 7065 AF
Mar 6, 2024 WYO 7463 AF
Jan 31, 2024 WYO 8372 AF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO AF
Overall 18-15 3-29
Conference 9-11 0-20
Home 14-4 3-15
Away 3-10 0-12
Neutral 1-1 0-2
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L2 L25
Avg Pts For 76.2 61.5
Avg Pts Against 72.9 79.9
Massey 6.6 (#89) -14.7 (#346)
Bradley-Terry 0.64 (#107) -2.28 (#344)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.93 (#103) -2.56 (#334)
RPI 0.519 (#135) 0.428 (#317)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO AF
FG% 44.7% 42.7%
3PT% 33.0% 31.4%
REB / G 35.0 29.2
OREB / G 11.7 7.2
AST / TO 1.24 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 49.4%
TOV% 16.7% 22.1%
ORB% 34.2% 22.2%
FT Rate 27.0% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 57.1%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 15.1%
DRB% 72.8% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 34.6% 26.3%

Game Analysis

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