Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WYO -3600 AF +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -24.3 (-20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -20.5 (-16.5) | 141.8 (-13.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -18.0 (-14.0) | 141.2 (-13.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -21.5 (-17.5) | 141.9 (-13.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -22.1 (-18.1) | 143.7 (-15.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | WYO 68 – 56 AF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WYO 69 – 62 AF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WYO 70 – 65 AF |
| Mar 6, 2024 | WYO 74 – 63 AF |
| Jan 31, 2024 | WYO 83 – 72 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 0-20 |
| Home | 14-4 | 3-15 |
| Away | 3-10 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L25 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 79.9 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#89) | -14.7 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#107) | -2.28 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#103) | -2.56 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#135) | 0.428 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.6% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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