Betting Lines
| Spread | AF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | AF -188 WYO +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +11 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | AF -2.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AF -0.9 (-11.9) | 140.6 (+14.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AF -1.0 (-12.0) | 140.3 (+14.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AF -0.9 (-11.9) | 139.3 (+15.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AF -1.1 (-12.1) | 141.1 (+13.9) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 AF |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WYO 68 – 56 AF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WYO 69 – 62 AF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WYO 70 – 65 AF |
| Mar 6, 2024 | WYO 74 – 63 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-12 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#197) | -0.9 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#246) | 0.62 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#224) | 0.43 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#259) | 0.543 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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