Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -300 AF +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -6.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -6.3 (+4.7) | 137.6 (-0.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -5.5 (+5.5) | 136.6 (+0.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -5.8 (+5.2) | 136.7 (+0.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -5.7 (+5.3) | 138.5 (-1.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 AF |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WYO 68 – 56 AF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WYO 69 – 62 AF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WYO 70 – 65 AF |
| Jan 31, 2024 | WYO 83 – 72 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-5 | 4-12 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#173) | -4.3 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#132) | -0.90 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#149) | -1.01 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#157) | 0.444 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 28.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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