Today Billie Joe McAllister jumped off the Tallahatchee Bridge "Ode to Billie Joe" - Bobbie Gentry
Wyoming Cowboys
69 62
FINAL Conference
Air Force Falcons
Mountain West Conference · Arena-Auditorium · February 19, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -8.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Under
Money WYO -450 / AF +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual WYO +7 131 Won
Massey WYO -10.6 (-3.6)
Massey Totals 126.5 (+4.5)
Bradley-Terry 95%
Weighted B-T 95%
Baseline Plus ML WYO -9.3 (-2.3) 130.3 (+0.7) 79%
Model 4 ML WYO -9.2 (-2.2) 129.5 (+1.5) 82%
Model 3 ML WYO -8.8 (-1.8) 131.1 (-0.1) 78%
Baseline ML WYO -9.4 (-2.4) 131.6 (-0.6) 79%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 WYO 6662 AF
Dec 30, 2025 WYO 6856 AF
Jan 4, 2025 WYO 7065 AF
Mar 6, 2024 WYO 7463 AF
Jan 31, 2024 WYO 8372 AF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO AF
Overall 12-20 4-28
Conference 5-15 1-19
Home 8-7 3-13
Away 3-10 0-14
Neutral 1-3 1-1
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L5 L5
Avg Pts For 65.8 61.9
Avg Pts Against 70.7 73.7
Massey -0.8 (#175) -8.1 (#295)
Bradley-Terry -0.04 (#169) -2.36 (#339)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.19 (#184) -2.54 (#328)
RPI 0.474 (#228) 0.406 (#333)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO AF
FG% 43.7% 42.3%
3PT% 35.3% 33.7%
REB / G 33.9 30.2
OREB / G 9.8 7.8
AST / TO 0.86 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 50.3%
TOV% 20.3% 20.8%
ORB% 29.2% 24.0%
FT Rate 20.5% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 54.5%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 15.8%
DRB% 72.2% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 28.0% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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