But spirit is something that no one destroys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
Wyoming Cowboys
69 – 62
FINAL Conference
Air Force Falcons
Mountain West Conference · Arena-Auditorium · February 19, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -8.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Under
Money WYO -450 / AF +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual WYO +7 131 Won
Massey WYO -10.6 (-3.6) — —
Massey Totals — 126.5 (+4.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -8.8 (-1.8) 131.1 (-0.1) 78% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WYO -9.2 (-2.2) 129.5 (+1.5) 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WYO -9.3 (-2.3) 130.3 (+0.7) 79% ✓
Baseline ML WYO -9.4 (-2.4) 131.6 (-0.6) 79% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 WYO 66 – 62 AF
Dec 30, 2025 WYO 68 – 56 AF
Jan 4, 2025 WYO 70 – 65 AF
Mar 6, 2024 WYO 74 – 63 AF
Jan 31, 2024 WYO 83 – 72 AF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO AF
Overall 12-20 4-28
Conference 5-15 1-19
Home 8-7 3-13
Away 3-10 0-14
Neutral 1-3 1-1
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L5 L5
Avg Pts For 65.8 61.9
Avg Pts Against 70.7 73.7
Massey -0.8 (#175) -8.1 (#295)
Bradley-Terry -0.04 (#169) -2.36 (#339)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.19 (#184) -2.54 (#328)
RPI 0.474 (#228) 0.406 (#333)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO AF
FG% 43.7% 42.3%
3PT% 35.3% 33.7%
REB / G 33.9 30.2
OREB / G 9.8 7.8
AST / TO 0.86 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 50.3%
TOV% 20.3% 20.8%
ORB% 29.2% 24.0%
FT Rate 20.5% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 54.5%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 15.8%
DRB% 72.2% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 28.0% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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