Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | AF +145 WYO -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +5 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -3.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -4.7 (-0.3) | 131.2 (+3.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -3.9 (-1.1) | 129.5 (+5.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -4.7 (-0.3) | 129.3 (+5.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -3.8 (-1.2) | 131.2 (+3.8) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 AF |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WYO 68 – 56 AF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WYO 69 – 62 AF |
| Mar 6, 2024 | WYO 74 – 63 AF |
| Jan 31, 2024 | WYO 83 – 72 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 5-15 |
| Home | 3-13 | 8-7 |
| Away | 0-14 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#284) | 0.5 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#330) | -0.09 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#317) | -0.01 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#346) | 0.487 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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