Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | AF +700 WYO -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +12 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -15.7 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -13.4 (+1.4) | 137.2 (-13.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -13.3 (+1.3) | 138.1 (-14.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -14.6 (+2.6) | 137.8 (-13.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -11.5 (-0.5) | 136.8 (-12.8) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 AF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WYO 69 – 62 AF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WYO 70 – 65 AF |
| Mar 6, 2024 | WYO 74 – 63 AF |
| Jan 31, 2024 | WYO 83 – 72 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 9-11 |
| Home | 3-15 | 14-4 |
| Away | 0-12 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L25 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#307) | 10.0 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#303) | 0.84 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#298) | 1.03 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#319) | 0.525 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 40.7% |
Game Analysis
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