Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | COLU +220 YALE -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +6 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -5.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-39.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -5.6 (-0.4) | 147.0 (-33.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -5.0 (-1.0) | 143.0 (-29.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -4.2 (-1.8) | 145.9 (-31.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -4.4 (-1.6) | 146.3 (-32.3) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | YALE 91 – 74 COLU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YALE 90 – 64 COLU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COLU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YALE 84 – 76 COLU |
| Jan 16, 2024 | YALE 89 – 70 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 24-7 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#172) | 7.6 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#194) | 1.35 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#205) | 1.48 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#142) | 0.606 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 40.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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