Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -1600 COLU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +19 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -10.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -8.0 (+11.0) | 146.9 (+12.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -11.5 (+7.5) | 144.1 (+14.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -8.0 (+11.0) | 146.0 (+13.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -8.2 (+10.8) | 146.2 (+12.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | YALE 60 – 54 COLU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | YALE 91 – 74 COLU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YALE 90 – 64 COLU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COLU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YALE 84 – 76 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 4-10 |
| Home | 9-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 9-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#114) | -2.2 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#100) | -0.13 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#98) | -0.29 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#86) | 0.482 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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