Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -3000 COLU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +26 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -18.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -17.5 (+8.5) | 159.6 (-5.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -17.9 (+8.1) | 156.8 (-2.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -16.3 (+9.7) | 158.3 (-4.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -16.4 (+9.6) | 160.1 (-6.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | YALE 60 – 54 COLU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | YALE 91 – 74 COLU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COLU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YALE 84 – 76 COLU |
| Jan 16, 2024 | YALE 89 – 70 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 1-13 |
| Home | 11-0 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#65) | -5.9 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#84) | -0.88 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#81) | -1.33 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#44) | 0.450 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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