Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | COLU +290 YALE -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +4 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -5.4 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (+22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -3.9 (-0.1) | 151.2 (+28.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -4.3 (+0.3) | 149.9 (+30.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -4.2 (+0.2) | 152.5 (+27.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -4.0 (+0.0) | 152.8 (+27.2) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | YALE 60 – 54 COLU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | YALE 91 – 74 COLU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YALE 90 – 64 COLU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YALE 84 – 76 COLU |
| Jan 16, 2024 | YALE 89 – 70 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 13-1 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-0 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#170) | 8.1 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#122) | 0.36 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#153) | 0.60 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#181) | 0.548 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.