Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -500 COLU +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +17 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -10.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -12.1 (+4.9) | 150.4 (+14.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -11.8 (+5.2) | 146.7 (+18.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -10.1 (+6.9) | 150.9 (+14.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -10.1 (+6.9) | 152.7 (+12.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | YALE 60 – 54 COLU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YALE 90 – 64 COLU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COLU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YALE 84 – 76 COLU |
| Jan 16, 2024 | YALE 89 – 70 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#75) | 1.6 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#69) | 0.15 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#91) | -0.23 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#41) | 0.522 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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