Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | COLU +300 YALE -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -5.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -5.2 (-2.8) | 138.6 (+21.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -3.1 (-4.9) | 140.5 (+19.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -4.2 (-3.8) | 140.1 (+19.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -4.1 (-3.9) | 140.7 (+19.3) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | YALE 60 – 54 COLU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | YALE 91 – 74 COLU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YALE 90 – 64 COLU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COLU |
| Jan 16, 2024 | YALE 89 – 70 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 11-3 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#202) | 6.4 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#204) | 1.52 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#200) | 1.79 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#206) | 0.599 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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