Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UNF +102 JAX -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +24 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | JAX -0.2 (-23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -0.5 (-23.5) | 148.3 (-2.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -0.3 (-23.7) | 146.1 (-0.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -0.3 (-23.7) | 147.5 (-1.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -0.7 (-23.3) | 146.9 (-0.9) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | JAX 63 – 56 UNF |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNF 77 – 73 JAX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UNF 81 – 78 JAX |
| Feb 24, 2024 | JAX 62 – 50 UNF |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UNF 82 – 74 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#336) | -9.4 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#343) | -1.47 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#340) | -1.87 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#324) | 0.442 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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