Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | UNF -105 JAX -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -1.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -0.3 (+4.3) | 152.8 (-2.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -0.6 (+4.6) | 154.7 (-4.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -0.2 (+4.2) | 153.6 (-3.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -0.2 (+4.2) | 154.5 (-4.5) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | JAX 85 – 61 UNF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JAX 63 – 56 UNF |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UNF 81 – 78 JAX |
| Feb 24, 2024 | JAX 62 – 50 UNF |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UNF 82 – 74 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 7-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.7 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#258) | -1.2 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#215) | -0.03 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#224) | 0.14 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#190) | 0.512 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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