Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -245 JKST +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +25 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -8.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -7.2 (+17.8) | 151.6 (-12.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -5.3 (+19.7) | 152.6 (-13.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -6.1 (+18.9) | 153.6 (-14.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -6.9 (+18.1) | 154.2 (-15.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | JKST 94 – 89 TXSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JKST 67 – 52 TXSO |
| Jan 20, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 73 JKST |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 62 JKST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TXSO 80 – 70 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 83.8 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#326) | -16.7 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#309) | -1.56 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#301) | -2.19 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#282) | 0.448 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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