Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -163 JKST +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -1.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -2.6 (+8.4) | 140.8 (-5.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -1.0 (+10.0) | 142.0 (-7.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -2.4 (+8.6) | 142.7 (-7.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -2.8 (+8.2) | 141.3 (-6.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 57 JKST |
| Jan 20, 2026 | JKST 94 – 89 TXSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JKST 67 – 52 TXSO |
| Jan 20, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 73 JKST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TXSO 80 – 70 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-2 |
| Away | 6-11 | 7-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#281) | -8.4 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#264) | -0.76 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#274) | -1.24 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#198) | 0.483 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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