Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -225 JKST +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -4.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -2.4 (+7.6) | 138.3 (+11.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -2.6 (+7.4) | 139.6 (+10.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -2.7 (+7.3) | 139.1 (+10.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -2.9 (+7.1) | 137.3 (+12.7) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 57 JKST |
| Jan 20, 2026 | JKST 94 – 89 TXSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JKST 67 – 52 TXSO |
| Jan 20, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 73 JKST |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-2 |
| Away | 6-11 | 7-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#280) | -7.7 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#251) | -0.77 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#268) | -1.23 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#206) | 0.472 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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