Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | UK -118 VAN -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +14 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -0.4 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -1.0 (+13.0) | 152.0 (+16.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -1.5 (+12.5) | 152.9 (+15.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -1.4 (+12.6) | 151.0 (+17.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -0.8 (+13.2) | 152.9 (+15.1) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
| Feb 7, 2024 | UK 109 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 85.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#24) | 20.3 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#30) | 3.05 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.33 (#29) | 4.32 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#40) | 0.626 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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