With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
Southeastern Conference · Memorial Gymnasium (TN) · February 7, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UK -8.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money VAN +320 / UK -450
Model Predictions
Spread Total VAN win
Actual UK +32 186 Lost
Massey UK -11.9 (-20.1)
Massey Totals 157.7 (+28.3)
Bradley-Terry 9%
Weighted B-T 6%
Efficiency Plus ML UK -9.9 (-22.1) 151.9 (+34.1) 20%
Baseline Tuned ML UK -11.1 (-20.9) 152.9 (+33.1) 17%
Baseline ML UK -11.7 (-20.3) 153.0 (+33.0) 17%
Baseline Plus ML UK -11.5 (-20.5) 155.2 (+30.8) 18%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 UK 9177 VAN
Jan 28, 2026 VAN 8055 UK
Feb 20, 2025 UK 8261 VAN
Jan 25, 2025 VAN 7469 UK
Mar 7, 2024 UK 9377 VAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings VAN UK
Overall 9-23 23-10
Conference 4-14 13-5
Home 8-10 14-4
Away 1-9 7-3
Neutral 0-4 2-3
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 67.9 89.0
Avg Pts Against 75.9 79.7
Massey -2.1 (#196) 13.2 (#26)
Bradley-Terry -0.85 (#260) 2.08 (#33)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.88 (#247) 2.57 (#33)
RPI 0.456 (#259) 0.584 (#46)
Shooting & Four Factors VAN UK
FG% 39.2% 48.9%
3PT% 28.0% 40.3%
REB / G 35.6 38.6
OREB / G 10.7 10.1
AST / TO 0.87 1.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.9% 56.4%
TOV% 16.0% 13.1%
ORB% 27.9% 28.0%
FT Rate 25.1% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 16.4%
DRB% 72.7% 70.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.4% 22.1%

Game Analysis

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