Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | VAN +320 UK -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +32 | 186 | Lost |
| Massey | UK -11.9 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (+28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -11.5 (-20.5) | 155.2 (+30.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -9.9 (-22.1) | 151.9 (+34.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -11.1 (-20.9) | 152.9 (+33.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -11.7 (-20.3) | 153.0 (+33.0) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 89.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#196) | 13.2 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#260) | 2.08 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#247) | 2.57 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#259) | 0.584 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 40.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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