Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | VAN -265 UK +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +25 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -6.9 (+18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -5.7 (+19.3) | 160.2 (-25.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -7.0 (+18.0) | 156.6 (-21.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -6.5 (+18.5) | 158.4 (-23.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -6.8 (+18.2) | 157.3 (-22.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
| Feb 7, 2024 | UK 109 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.7 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 20.7 (#10) | 17.0 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.37 (#15) | 2.49 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.42 (#16) | 3.26 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#12) | 0.581 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.87 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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