Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | VAN +125 UK -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UK -2.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.0 (-28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -2.0 (+7.0) | 162.3 (-19.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -0.8 (+5.8) | 161.7 (-18.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -0.3 (+5.3) | 163.7 (-20.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UK -0.5 (+5.5) | 160.7 (-17.7) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
| Feb 7, 2024 | UK 109 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#39) | 19.1 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#22) | 3.44 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#34) | 4.31 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#51) | 0.648 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.