Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | UK -2500 VAN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +16 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | UK -20.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -18.1 (-2.1) | 159.4 (+10.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -14.3 (+1.7) | 160.0 (+10.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -17.0 (-1.0) | 158.6 (+11.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -17.6 (-1.6) | 158.4 (+11.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Feb 7, 2024 | UK 109 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Away | 7-3 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.0 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#19) | -2.3 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#22) | -0.45 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#19) | -0.70 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#44) | 0.462 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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