Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | UK -210 VAN +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +21 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UK -9.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -9.2 (+11.8) | 160.7 (-17.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -9.4 (+11.6) | 160.0 (-17.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -9.2 (+11.8) | 163.7 (-20.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -8.9 (+12.1) | 162.2 (-19.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
| Feb 7, 2024 | UK 109 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 18.8 (#13) | 13.0 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#13) | 2.73 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#17) | 3.02 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#14) | 0.575 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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